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7-day record
3 %5x in 24 h
46 %dead in 24 h
76tokens measured
24 %2x in 24 h
Over the last 7 mature days the network alerted 76 tokens in CTO on Solana. 24 % reached 2x within 24 hours and 3 % reached 5x; 46 % died inside a day, usually after about 1.3 h. The Solana average for all topics was 25 % reaching 2x. Statistically the lane is not yet different from the rest of Solana.
Source: Blackhat alert scoreboard, 7-day window of mature alerts (older than 24 h), updated 2026-09-23. Full scoreboard.
Fresh from @empiresolcto
Loading live CTO alerts…
Screen: market cap at least $10.0K, liquidity at least $10.0K, at least 250 holders, top-10 wallets holding at most 30 %. Charts open on GMGN.
Reading the CTO lane
A CTO alert means the community took over a token after the original team left.
Project signals show what the people behind a token are doing: paying for promotion, updating links, relaunching or moving supply. Mafia Ward follows CTO on Solana for those actions.
In short: a team that pays for a boost or edits its screener page is spending effort. Mafia Ward reads CTO to see where that effort goes and whether holders follow.
Quick test: Confirm new social links point to accounts with real history, not accounts created that day. Read the deployer's history: earlier launches, how long they lasted and how they ended.
Checks before any trade
Run these on every contract, in this order.
Step 1
Look at what the creator address launched before and how those ended.
Step 2
Check whether mint and freeze authorities are revoked where the chain allows them.
Step 3
Look again after an hour, because early data on thin tokens shifts quickly.
Step 4
Compare volume with liquidity and holder growth.
Step 5
Search the contract in the Empire Telegram network to see other alerts on it.
Step 6
Try a small sell early; some tokens restrict selling.
From the XTRACK reports
| Token | Chain | First alert cap | Tracked cap | Multiple | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polycat | SOL | $25K | $430K | 17x | 2026-08-24 |
| SpaceXcoin | BSC | $34K | $635K | 18x | 2026-08-17 |
| PRIVVVATE | base | $15K | $532K | 34x | 2026-09-09 |
| HeeHaw | SOL | $54K | $1000K | 19x | 2026-09-06 |
Historic examples only. Each multiple compares the reported market cap with the first alert. Many other alerts in the same period lost value.
From the DYOR library
Background for this lane, from the Blackhat DYOR library. Mafia Ward rotates the list over time.
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You're Still Buying Tokens Before You Check the One Number That Predicts 90% of Rugs
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You keep checking liquidity, market cap, and the chart like a disciplined trader. But the three wallets that dump you tomorrow are the same three that pumped you today. You're…
10 min read · 2026-08-16
The filter
The rule behind this page. Mafia Ward keeps an alert only if it passes all of these:
- market cap at least $10.0K
- liquidity at least $10.0K
- at least 250 holders
- top-10 wallets holding at most 30 %
Checked against the latest 48 alerts in the lane (about 11 hours): 19 passed. Median values for the passing alerts: cap $133.7K, liquidity $30.3K, holders 1299. None of the 48 lane alerts had liquidity below a tenth of the market cap. Median concentration in the lane: 25 % of supply in the top ten wallets.
Values measured on 2026-09-23 from the Empire feed. The screen is a filter, not a recommendation.
Alert log · 2026-09-23
Recorded on 2026-09-23 from the Empire feed. Mafia Ward keeps a short log so the page shows real alerts even without scripts.
- At 15:03 UTC the feed caught PIPEJEAN: cap $133.7K, liquidity $29.7K, 1,299 holders, top 10 holding 4 %.
- At 14:07 UTC the feed caught SNP500: cap $31.8K, liquidity $16.3K, 347 holders, top 10 holding 25 %.
- GIGAJEAN alerted at 13:51 UTC. Market cap $249.1K, liquidity $42.1K, +7590.9 % over the prior hour, 1,860 holders.
- COMPUTE (13:19 UTC) — $60.7K cap against $18.3K liquidity, top 10 holding 21 %, +1974.8 % over the prior hour.
- FRIENDS alerted at 11:45 UTC. Market cap $46.4K, liquidity $18.6K, 1,155 holders.
- GIGACAT printed at 08:34 UTC with a $61.5K market cap and $19.6K in the pool, 489 holders.
- MUSE alerted at 04:11 UTC. Market cap $71.0K, liquidity $30.3K, 2,452 holders.
Recorded values, not live prices. Charts open on GMGN with the publisher's referral code.
Telegram routes
Mafia Ward does not post alerts itself; these Telegram routes do.
@empiresolctoLive CTO alerts for Solana, as they fire.
@empiresoldevsThe creator address moved, bought or sold: the DEV Activity channel.
Open SOLANA MainThe verified Solana main group with all alert lanes.
Add Research folderAdds a whole set of verified channels to Telegram in one tap.
Solana channel folderThe full Solana channel set in a single Telegram folder.
@gmgnx_chatThe community chat, for questions and discussion.
Common questions
What is Mafia Ward?
It is one of the Empire's public desks. It watches CTO alerts on Solana, prints them live and explains how to check each one.
How often does a CTO alert reach 2x?
In the last 7 measured days, 24 % of CTO alerts on Solana reached 2x within 24 hours (76 tokens). The same share can be very different next week.
Does Mafia Ward hold or sell tokens it shows?
No. The page publishes alerts and methods; it does not run positions or sell placements.
Why do so many alerted tokens die?
Most new tokens lose their liquidity or most of their value within a day. In the same window 46 % of CTO alerts on Solana died inside 24 hours.
